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June 28th, 2010
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Greece’s default earlier this year brought renewed attention to Japan’s large budget deficits – which at a ratio of nearly 200% debt-to-GDP tops the list of industrialized countries. As Japan’s new Prime Minister, Naoto Kan moves to tackle run-away debt, he has also made clear his commitment to reduce GHG emissions and expand “green” jobs. Nicholas Davidson of the Fletcher School of Law & Diplomacy looks at how the stark fiscal challenges which Mr. Kan inherits interact with his energy and climate pledges.

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OUTLOOK

With much of the G20 focused on the global impacts of the European debt crisis, disconcerting signs that Japan’s economy may soon be next were notably overlooked. The rate of interest payments on government debt has exceeded Japan’s economic growth for over a decade, and public revenues have been unable to pick up the slack.  This has caused Japan’s debt to GDP ratio to hover dangerously close to 200%, more than any other industrialized country and far above Greece with only 115%. The global financial downturn has only exacerbated the situation and may ultimately bring down Japan’s fragile economy as it did in Greece, a scenario which would have widely-felt reverberations throughout East Asia, and would only enhance China’s clout in the region. 

Source: OECD

Potential paths out of the crisis for Japan have only recently started to emerge.  On June 17, Japan’s newly appointed Prime Minister, former finance minister Naoto Kan, announced plans to tackle the country’s spiraling debt by increasing the consumption tax. 

Full article here.

28 June 2010
Nicholas Davidson
Fletcher School of Law & Diplomacy
GR ANALYSIS
Climate Change
28 June 2010
International
28 June 2010
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28 June 2010
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28 June 2010


KEY READS
In (Qualified) Praise of Utility-Only Cap-and-Trade
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NAMES IN THE NEWS
(R-KY)
US Senate

Has indicated he will try to keep his caucus unified against a national "energy tax"


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